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June 19, 2026

The $700 Car Payment That Could Cost You $1 Million

See how a new car’s down payment and monthly payments could grow if invested instead. Use this calculator to explore depreciation, compound growth, and the long-term opportunity cost of buying a vehicle.

A new car can feel like a sign that you’re moving forward. But before signing the loan paperwork, it’s worth asking one question:

What could these same dollars become if I invested them instead?

The true cost of a car isn’t limited to its price or monthly payment. Cars generally lose value over time, while invested money has the potential to grow through compound returns.

For example, imagine choosing between a new car and investing the down payment plus the equivalent monthly payments in a low-cost index fund. After the car loan ends, you stop making contributions—but leave the investment alone to grow.

Over several decades, the difference can become surprisingly large.

The calculator below lets you compare both paths. Enter your age, vehicle price, down payment, loan terms, expected depreciation, and potential investment return. You’ll see how the car’s estimated value compares with the investment at different ages.

This doesn’t mean you should never buy a new car. A dependable vehicle provides real value, and personal finances aren’t only about maximizing wealth.

The goal is simply to understand the tradeoff before deciding. A car payment doesn’t only reduce this month’s bank balance—it may also reduce the wealth your money could have built for your future.

Opportunity cost calculator

A new car—or your future wealth?

See what the same dollars could become if you invested them instead. Adjust the assumptions to make the comparison your own.

Start with you

We’ll project both paths at five-year age milestones.

years
1

Buy the car

%

Calculated from the loan. You can override it.

%

Later years use 15%, tapering over time.

Total paid over loan
2

Invest instead

Matches the down payment by default.

Matches the car payment by default.

%
Contributions stop after

How the two paths unfold

Car value versus the invested value of the same upfront and monthly dollars.

Car value at loan payoffEnter your assumptions above
Investment at loan payoffEnter your assumptions above
Long-term opportunity costDifference between investment and car value

Projected value by age

At ageVehicle valueInvestment valueDifference

This educational calculator uses simplified assumptions and is not financial advice. Investment returns are hypothetical, are compounded monthly, and are not guaranteed. The estimate excludes taxes, fees, inflation, insurance, maintenance, repairs, fuel, sales tax, and the value or cost of alternative transportation. Vehicle depreciation varies significantly by make, model, mileage, condition, and market.


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